Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000871 0.000906 0.000941 0.000979 0.001020 0.001062 0.001109
2025-10-12 0.000810 0.000860 0.000914 0.000974 0.001040 0.001111 0.001194
2025-10-19 0.000764 0.000826 0.000892 0.000970 0.001058 0.001156 0.001273
2025-10-26 0.000723 0.000793 0.000870 0.000961 0.001068 0.001189 0.001339
2025-11-02 0.000696 0.000773 0.000858 0.000963 0.001087 0.001233 0.001418
2025-11-09 0.000666 0.000747 0.000839 0.000952 0.001091 0.001256 0.001473
2025-11-16 0.000640 0.000723 0.000820 0.000941 0.001092 0.001276 0.001522
2025-11-23 0.000630 0.000719 0.000823 0.000956 0.001124 0.001334 0.001623
2025-11-30 0.000615 0.000707 0.000817 0.000959 0.001141 0.001373 0.001700
2025-12-07 0.000595 0.000688 0.000800 0.000947 0.001138 0.001386 0.001742
2025-12-14 0.000574 0.000668 0.000782 0.000932 0.001131 0.001391 0.001773
2025-12-21 0.000559 0.000654 0.000770 0.000925 0.001133 0.001409 0.001822
2025-12-28 0.000533 0.000626 0.000740 0.000893 0.001100 0.001379 0.001800
2026-01-04 0.000521 0.000615 0.000731 0.000890 0.001106 0.001402 0.001859
2026-01-11 0.000510 0.000605 0.000724 0.000887 0.001113 0.001426 0.001920
2026-01-18 0.000497 0.000593 0.000713 0.000879 0.001112 0.001440 0.001966
2026-01-25 0.000489 0.000586 0.000709 0.000881 0.001124 0.001472 0.002041
2026-02-01 0.000477 0.000574 0.000698 0.000872 0.001121 0.001481 0.002080
2026-02-08 0.000466 0.000563 0.000686 0.000862 0.001116 0.001488 0.002116
2026-02-15 0.000464 0.000563 0.000691 0.000875 0.001144 0.001545 0.002239
2026-02-22 0.000458 0.000558 0.000688 0.000877 0.001157 0.001579 0.002326
2026-03-01 0.000448 0.000547 0.000677 0.000867 0.001150 0.001583 0.002359
2026-03-08 0.000437 0.000535 0.000665 0.000854 0.001139 0.001578 0.002376